“Polls and Prognosticators” Dominate the News of the Day.
The Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, Washington Post/ABC News poll, and the Cook Political Report are dominating political news today. The wind (headwinds and tailwinds) is the metaphor of the day. All conclude that Democrats are in for a rough fall as Americans most likely to vote are pessimistic and in a generally foul mood about the state of the economy and course of the nation. Michael Muskal, of The Los Angeles Times, has a clear-eyed summary.
State Senator Sam Caligiuri, of Waterbury, the Republican candidate for Congress in Connecticut’s 5th congressional district, has a poll of his own for public consumption. Conducted by the Republican firm National Research, Inc., the survey says Caligiuri is in a dead heat with 2-term Democratic incumbent Chris Murphy. Mr. Caligiuri’s poll of 400 likely voters, conducted on August 30th and 31st, has Murphy ahead 40% to 39%. Voters in the district that runs from the western suburbs of Hartford to the New York border must be disoriented, not simply angry, if they are close to electing the oily Mr. Caligiuri to Congress.
Mr. Murphy needs to win this one if he’s to realize his ambition of running for the United States Senate in 2012 against Independent incumbent Joseph Lieberman, who’s suggested that he’ll seek a fifth term in two years.
2 comments
Chris Murphy is going to have a tough time defending his voting record, voting with Nancy Pelosi 97% of the time. Who even agrees with their spouse 97% of the time ??? View the stats at the independent OpenCongress.org website http://www.opencongress.org/people/compare?person1=412194&person2=400314&representatives=true
“Clear-eyed summary,” Kevin? Really?? He says, ” No one expects Democrats to lose control of the Senate . . . ” What kind of delusion is that? “No one?” Not a single person? In fact, many “clear-eyed” students of this season are fully prepared to predict a Republican pick-up of 10 or even more. Boxer, Reid, Murray and Feingold and yes, Blumenthal are going down hard in November. I predict R’s +12.